Estimating injection rate from ground displacement in coupled flow and geomechanics problems using deep learning enabled Bayesian inference

Abstract

In this work, we use a combination of Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte Carlo and deep learning in the form of LSTM autoencoders to build and test a framework to provide robust estimates of injection rate from ground surface data in coupled flow and geomechanics problems. We use LSTM autoencoders to reconstruct the displacement time series for grid points on the top surface of a faulting due to water injection problem. We then deploy this LSTM autoencoder based model instead of the high fidelity model in the Bayesian inference framework to estimate injection rate from displacement input.