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A mathematical analysis about Zika virus outbreak in Rio de Janeiro

##article.authors##

  • Eber Dantas Rio de Janeiro State University
  • Michel Tosin Rio de Janeiro State University
  • João Peterson Rio de Janeiro State University
  • Vinicius Lopes Rio de Janeiro State University
  • Americo Cunha Jr Rio de Janeiro State University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8342-0363

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31224/3911

Keywords:

nonlinear dynamics, mathematical biology, model calibration, SEIR epidemic model, Zika outbreak in Rio de Janeiro

Abstract

This work deals with the calibration of SEIR epidemic model for Zika virus outbreak, in Rio de Janeiro, occurred in 2016, based on similar numerical analysis applied for disease's evolution in French Polyne-sia islands. Demographical increasing or decreasing is not considered. Vector is assumed to be infected for it's all lifespan. Model parameters fitting follows an empirical process, by comparison of obtained results with that in Polynesia case study, featuring as satisfactory the values that best reproduce model evolution in Rio de Janeiro scenario.  

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Posted

2024-09-16

License

Copyright (c) 2024 Eber Dantas, Michel Tosin, João Peterson, Vinicius Lopes, Americo Cunha Jr

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.