Preprint has been published in a journal as an article
DOI of the published article https://jast.msu.edu.tr/index.php/JAST/article/view/711
Preprint / Version 1

Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines

Kestirimci Bakım: Savaş Uçağı Motorları için Derin Öğrenme Tabanlı Kalan Kullanım Ömrü Tahmini

##article.authors##

  • Fatih Ürgen Istanbul Technical University
  • Doğay Altınel Istanbul Medeniyet University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31224/7847

Keywords:

Aviation, Combat Aircraft, Deep Learning, Predictive Maintenance, Remaining Useful Life, Turbofan

Abstract

To improve the operational readiness of combat aircraft engines and reduce unplanned maintenance costs, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) is critical. Traditional maintenance often proves insufficient under dynamic mission profiles. In this study, a deep learning-based predictive maintenance model capable of autonomously extracting features from multivariate sensor data was developed. Using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD004 datasets, data were converted into sequential blocks via 50- and 30-step sliding windows, respectively. The model's architectural superiority in autonomously extracting temporal degradation features was validated against RF, CNN-LSTM, and BiLSTM baselines. On FD001, it achieved an R-squared (R2) of 0.8901, a 13.28 RMSE, and a 320.34 NASA risk score, demonstrating generalizability on the multi-regime FD004 dataset with a 15.71 RMSE. The proposed maintenance protocol achieved a 0.9973 AUC at the critical 30-cycle threshold, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, a decision-support simulator has been developed to validate this protocol under aggressive combat flight profiles.

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Posted

2026-08-05