MONTY-HALL PROBLEM SOLVED: PARADOX RESOLVED

Abstract

This research note presents a quick re-look at the Monty-Hall Problem, refuting the widely accepted position held by the leading subject-area-experts, and establishing that there is no rational basis for a switched choice in the decision to be made by the game show guest.

Many a times, the additional knowledge gained, revealing a losing-chance, although leads to an updated smaller sample-space, may not be specific enough for refinement/update on the relative chances between/among the now-available alternatives in the resultant smaller sample-space.