MONTY-HALL PROBLEM: TO SWITCH OR NOT TO SWITCH: PARADOX RESOLVED

Abstract

This research report presents a deep re-look at the classical Monty-Hall Problem, refuting the widely accepted position held by the leading subject area experts, and establishing that there is no rational basis for a switched choice in the decision to be made by the guest of the game show.

Many a times, the additional knowledge gained, revealing a losing-chance, although leads to an updated smaller sample-space, may not be specific enough for refinement/update on the relative chances between/among the now-available alternatives in the resultant smaller sample-space.